Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.029216 2.350834 2.704561 3.122151 3.601360 4.133786 4.769932
2025-02-16 1.496577 1.896143 2.373876 2.986018 3.748439 4.665622 5.851662
2025-02-23 1.121028 1.537880 2.074500 2.813503 3.802244 5.076725 6.841373
2025-03-02 0.850957 1.254712 1.810364 2.626854 3.791501 5.387807 7.735919
2025-03-09 0.702585 1.105606 1.694569 2.611740 3.996771 6.001310 9.111671
2025-03-16 0.572451 0.956969 1.551019 2.527006 4.080070 6.442418 10.290662
2025-03-23 0.517194 0.912849 1.555307 2.662498 4.508238 7.442104 12.430861
2025-03-30 0.462097 0.858272 1.532274 2.746811 4.860990 8.361389 14.554087
2025-04-06 0.403539 0.786876 1.468619 2.750203 5.074181 9.072582 16.414621
2025-04-13 0.334464 0.684058 1.333362 2.605395 5.005548 9.291533 17.449906
2025-04-20 0.306048 0.653473 1.324443 2.688516 5.355454 10.278488 19.954219
2025-04-27 0.287540 0.639273 1.343867 2.826728 5.823499 11.528520 23.078748
2025-05-04 0.259956 0.603006 1.317056 2.875167 6.134563 12.541528 25.918181
2025-05-11 0.233541 0.564796 1.280682 2.899018 6.400174 13.499996 28.772189
2025-05-18 0.202187 0.509915 1.200503 2.817892 6.436455 14.005343 30.776372
2025-05-25 0.171460 0.450803 1.101529 2.679783 6.329472 14.199430 32.151674
2025-06-01 0.155090 0.423723 1.071361 2.693346 6.559406 15.130898 35.208041
2025-06-08 0.135810 0.385719 1.009431 2.622716 6.586526 15.622537 37.354784
2025-06-15 0.130828 0.384478 1.037068 2.773483 7.154579 17.387153 42.570607
2025-06-22 0.123231 0.374744 1.041796 2.867463 7.596985 18.912645 47.404646
2025-06-29 0.112390 0.353880 1.014420 2.874711 7.824377 19.958197 51.221197
2025-07-06 0.096415 0.314990 0.932696 2.725675 7.632353 19.972115 52.542422
2025-07-13 0.091292 0.307929 0.937662 2.813739 8.073519 21.594521 58.028260